The Statistics Page for Flooding (Community)

The Statistics Page for Flooding // Community

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alphabit phalpha

Apr 9, 2006, 6:13pm
Ok...this is what I am having to do.
http://www.sciencecourseware.org/VirtualRiver/Flooding/Files/page14.html
Help...lol...I'm desperate now!

strike rapier

Apr 9, 2006, 7:48pm
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25.
p(x) =3D (1-I)^x
=3D> (1-1/25^(100))=20
=3D> (0.96^100) =20
=3D> 1 - 0.0168 =20
=3D> 0.98 (98%)

50.
p =3D 1/I
=3D> 0. 1 / 50=20
=3D> P =3D 0.02

100.
p(x) =3D (1-I)^x
=3D> (1-1/50)^10
=3D> 1 - 0.817
=3D> 0.18 (18%)

1000.
p(x) =3D (1-I)^x
=3D> (1 - 1/1000)^50
=3D> 0.048 (4.8%)

10000.
p =3D 1/I
=3D> p =3D 1 / 10000
=3D> p =3D 0.0001
=3D> p =3D 0.01%

No guarantees, i'm sleepy

--=20
- Mark Randall
http://www.temporal-solutions.co.uk

"We're Systems and Networks..."=20
"It's our job to know..."=20

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<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
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<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>25.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; p(x) =3D =
(1-I)^x</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; =
(1-1/25^(100))=20
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; =
(0.96^100)&nbsp;=20
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; 1 - =
0.0168</FONT><FONT=20
face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; 0.98 =
(98%)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>50.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; p =3D =
1/I</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; 0. 1 / 50 =
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=3D&gt; P =3D =

0.02</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>100.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; p(x) =3D =
(1-I)^x</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; =
(1-1/50)^10</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; 1 - =
0.817</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; 0.18 =
(18%)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>1000.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; p(x) =3D =
(1-I)^x</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; (1 -=20
1/1000)^50</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; 0.048=20
(4.8%)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>10000.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; p =3D =
1/I</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; p =3D 1 /=20
10000</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; p =3D =
0.0001</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New">&nbsp;&nbsp; =3D&gt; p =3D=20
0.01%</FONT></DIV></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Courier New" size=3D2>No guarantees, i'm =
sleepy</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2></FONT><FONT=20
face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT><BR><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>-- <BR>- Mark =
Randall<BR></FONT><A=20
href=3D"http://www.temporal-solutions.co.uk"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>http://www.temporal-solutions.co.uk</FONT></A></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>"We're Systems and Networks..."=20
<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; "It's our job to know..." </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>"AlphaBit Phalpha" &lt;</FONT><A=20
href=3D"mailto:btuttle2006 at gmail.com"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>btuttle2006 at gmail.com</FONT></A><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>&gt; wrote in=20
message </FONT><A =
href=3D"news:44396ace$1 at server1.Activeworlds.com"><FONT=20
face=3DArial =
size=3D2>news:44396ace$1 at server1.Activeworlds.com</FONT></A><FONT=20
face=3DArial size=3D2>...</FONT></DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>&gt; =
Ok...this is what=20
I am having to do.<BR>&gt; </FONT><A=20
href=3D"http://www.sciencecourseware.org/VirtualRiver/Flooding/Files/page=
14.html"><FONT=20
face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>http://www.sciencecourseware.org/VirtualRiver/Flooding/Files/pag=
e14.html</FONT></A><BR><FONT=20
face=3DArial size=3D2>&gt; Help...lol...I'm desperate now! <BR>&gt;=20
<BR>&gt;</FONT></BODY></HTML>

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alphabit phalpha

Apr 9, 2006, 8:30pm
LOL...go get some rest and thanks tons!!!
I went to smarthinking.com to ask a tutor for the equation and unfortunately
neither the algebra or statistics tutors could help me. You ought to apply
there for a job! But I think their site is outsourced and you might need to
speak another language, or 3:)
This really helps tons!
Thanks again:)
Bit
[View Quote] 50.
p = 1/I
=> 0. 1 / 50
=> P = 0.02

100.
p(x) = (1-I)^x
=> (1-1/50)^10
=> 1 - 0.817
=> 0.18 (18%)

1000.
p(x) = (1-I)^x
=> (1 - 1/1000)^50
=> 0.048 (4.8%)

10000.
p = 1/I
=> p = 1 / 10000
=> p = 0.0001
=> p = 0.01%

No guarantees, i'm sleepy

--
- Mark Randall
http://www.temporal-solutions.co.uk

"We're Systems and Networks..."
"It's our job to know..."

[View Quote]

strike rapier

Apr 9, 2006, 10:00pm
I suspect there is a problem with the 100 one, just noticed it.

--
- Mark Randall
http://www.temporal-solutions.co.uk

"We're Systems and Networks..."
"It's our job to know..."
[View Quote]

alphabit phalpha

Apr 9, 2006, 10:03pm
Well, I emailed my instructor and let him know that I would be doing that
assignment tomorrow morning. When I get back to that page it kicks up an
error message on the ones that are wrong. I'll post the results after I get
that done. I can't believe someone is paying tutors that can't tute!...lol
Anyways, I really do appreciate the help.
I took first year math last term, but it didn't cover anything like what was
needed here. Over summer I need to practice on math because this degree
requires that I go all the way to calculus...yikes!

[View Quote]

kenneth

Apr 9, 2006, 11:50pm
I never took Geometry and I only know up to Algebra (forgot tons), so by
logic (LOL), I would think
those 6 areas are 6 decades of that month's average rainfall. Then you take
the highest average and make that your emergency flood possibility.

-Kenneth


[View Quote]

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